When an election was annulled in Algeria in 1991, the denied victors went to the trenches and fought a lengthy guerilla-war that cost over 200,000 lives.  But when an election was annulled in Nigeria in 1993, we did not fight.  When the military overthrow an elected government in Nigeria, we accept it without contradiction. It merely provides a welcome opportunity for the musical chairs of new political appointments.

 

Poverty and profligacy

 

Today, Nigeria earns over $100 billion a year.  The economy is said to be growing at over 6.5% per annum.  Nevertheless, there is galloping unemployment.  Those in public employment are owed back salaries; while pensioners are owed their pensions.  The PHCN suffers from chronic epilepsy, leaving the country in gross darkness.  There is a relay-race of strikes, from NUPENG to tanker-drivers, to ASUP, to university lecturers, to health workers.  With the growing ban of okada riders nationwide, some Nigerians are now forced to walk to work.  Many can hardly afford a square meal a day.

 

In the midst of this hardship, rich Nigerians are busy flaunting their stolen wealth.  They are buying summer-houses in Dubai; building hotels in Lagos; buying yachts in New Orleans; celebrating birthday parties in Seychelles; marrying wives in the Bahamas.  Our pastors have become mega.  They now fly around in private jets, drive in a cortege of “Jeeps” and preach “the gospel” while cruising down the Atlantic with the “crème de la crème.”  House on the Rock flew in Tony Blair, former Prime-Minister of Britain, just to dedicate a spanking N5 billion church-building in Lagos.  The Redeemed Christian Church of God called for dubious billion-naira donors in order to build a three-kilometre long and wide church auditorium on the Lagos-Ibadan expressway.

 

Revolution-ready

Seeing the writing on the wall, many are convinced Nigeria is now ripe for a violent revolution.  We have seen “the Arab spring” in the Middle East.  They believe “a Nigerian summer” is also on the horizon.  Recently, Pastor T.B. Joshua of Synagogue Church of All Nations lent his voice to those predicting that a revolution in Nigeria is in the offing.  During a televised broadcast on August 11, 2013, he declared: “I am seeing a revolution.  I am seeing people take to the street.  At the beginning of that protest, it might be stopped.  Eventually, it will become so big that it cannot be stopped.”

 

T.B. Joshua is known for making curiously accurate predictions.  He reportedly predicted the death of the former President of Zambia, Levy Mwanawasa, in 2008.  He is also said to have predicted the election of John Atta Mills as President of Ghana that same year.  But is it true that a revolution is just around the corner in Nigeria?  Is it true that Nigeria is more than ready for its own homegrown social and political upheaval?

 

I don’t think so!  There is no revolution coming in Nigeria for the simple reason that the revolution already came a long time ago.  It came in a way that defied our political science textbooks.  Maybe that accounts for our failure to recognise it.  In the Nigeria of today, the revolution is crime.

 

Karma time

There is a revolution already underway in Nigeria.  The revolutionaries are armed-robbers, pen-robbers, “OPC”, “Bakassi boys”, “area-boys”, “yahoo-yahoo boys” and 419 scammers.  They are money-grubbing market-women, carpenters, plumbers, doctors and university lecturers.  National treasuries are being emptied.  Banks are getting robbed. Homes are being burgled.  Oil pipelines are being vandalised.  Everybody is grabbing his share of the national cake.  Everybody is busy ripping-off everyone else.  From the policeman who holds car-owners hostage for “happy weekend” gratifications, to the mechanic who uses fake spare-parts; to the pharmacist who sells expired drugs; Nigeria is now a country of generalised criminality from top to bottom.

 

In Nigeria, corrupt public-officials have murdered sleep.  They live the barricaded life.  Their walls are concrete and electrocuted.  Their bodyguards are armed to the teeth.  Their cars are smoke-screened.  Their agbadas are bullet-proofed.  Their children are home-schooled for fear of kidnappers.  Even their mothers and grandmothers are under lock-and-key in the villages.

 

Those were the days when peace of mind could be bought with hypocritical acts of philanthropy.  Some small-change is thrown at a few beggars.  One or two vagrants are fed with crumbs from the table.  But that just won’t do any more.  It is karma time.

 

Enter Boko Haram

 

This revolutionary criminality has found its most profound expression in the Boko Haram, a virulent terrorist scourge that now holds the country hostage.  In spite of the fact that Northerners have ruled Nigeria for not less than 37 out of a total 53 years of independence, the North remains the most impoverished part of the country.  It is full of uneducated and unemployed youth.  The public health system has collapsed.  The educational system is bankrupt.  The pervasive feature is grinding poverty among the rank-and-file.

Northern politicians have done well for themselves.  They have pocketed a considerable amount of public funds.  They have awarded themselves choice oil-blocks.  They have literally privatized a number of public enterprises to themselves.  But they have done precious little to develop the North.  All these provide fertile ground for Boko Haram to flourish.  To date, innocent men, women and children are senselessly murdered in the North by this group of marauders, without discernible probable cause.

 

On May 3, 2013, Shettima Ali Munguno, 87 year-old former Petroleum Minister of Nigeria, was also abducted by the Boko Haram.  But then, surprisingly, he was promptly released without ransom.  Many speculated that he must be a Boko Haram sympathiser to have been so favoured.  But I am of a different persuasion.  I am convinced the Shettima was released because his curriculum vitae were read to the Boko Haram.  They then discovered that they had mistakenly kidnapped the wrong man.

 

I remember when the Shettima was in government.  He had the national reputation of being scrupulously honest.  It was widely acknowledged that he would never steal public funds.  In fact, there was a rumour that his people hated him at the time for that very reason.  Why should everyone be a thief at the federal level and only the representative of Borno is clean?  His people wanted a representative thief in Lagos.  Therefore, when a chorus of Nigerians appealed to the Boko Haram on the basis of the impeccable credentials of the Shettima, he was promptly released.  He is not the kind of person the Boko Haram revolution is against.

 

Alhaji Kashim Shettima, the current Governor of Borno State, gave this testimony about Shettima Ali Munguno: “Those who help orphans and the poor have special place before Allah and this makes our elder statesman, Shettima Ali Monguno, a special person before Allah because over the years, he has dedicated his lifetime to catering for the orphans, widows and the needy.  He feeds them, clothes them, takes care of their health and other social needs. He is a righteous old man as all humans can testify, leaving Allah to be the judge; he is associated with honesty and integrity. This means Allah cannot be happy with anyone that hurts this good servant of his.”

 

Be afraid

The message is clear: The Shettima Ali Mungunos of Nigeria have nothing to fear.  But the corrupt politicians who have grown fat by stealing public funds; the jet-setting mega-pastors who make merchandise of men; they need to be very afraid.  There is a target on their foreheads.  Fear will continue to surround them on every side.

 

In Nigeria, the pauperised many have sent a memo to the criminally-rich few:  “We will not allow you to enjoy your ill-gotten gains in peace.  We will hound you and pursue you everywhere you go.  When you buy your Hummers, we will snatch them.  When you send your children to expensive schools, we will kidnap them.  When you retreat to your billion-naira homes, you will have to sleep with one eye open.  With every knock, you will panic and tremble fearing it could be nemesis at the door.”

 

Professor Osita Eze, the late Director-General of the Nigerian Institute of International Affairs, told me an interesting, probably apocryphal, story.  He said when the late president of Nigeria, Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, was brought back home on his sick bed from Saudi Arabia in the dead of night in February 2010, a contingent of armed soldiers surrounded the house of another prominent member of government in Abuja.  In panic, the man quickly phoned his godfather, a former president of Nigeria, to seek advice as to what to do.  The former president said to him: “Let me make some enquiries and then call you back.”

 

The former president then dropped the phone, got into his private jet, and quickly ran away to Togo.

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Read this article in the Vanguard Newspapers.