by Abdulmumin Ajia, Ola Adeola
Both of the two major gladiators in this contest would most probably meet the constitutional threshold but the candidate with the majority vote between the two would end up being duly elected President.
First off, why does Mr. Fani – kayode need to insult his opponents in order to get his message across? While Nigerian politics have come to be associated with chicanery, this shouldn’t be an acceptable behavior.
On the issue of PDP winning outright in 23 states as claimed by Fani Kayode, the spokesman will do better by giving us a rundown of the states without stating their unconfirmed numbers. He wouldn’t be breaking any law by doing this.
However, based on what is on ground, the probability of PDP winning 23 states outright is very low. From our own projection, the PDP would most probably win about 17 states outright. These areTaraba, Kogi, Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa, Ekiti, Edo, Delta, Cross River, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Ebonyi, Abia, Anambra, Enugu and Imo. The PDP will also get 25 percent in about a dozen other states. This is the most probable forecast.
General Muhammadu Buhari of the APC has performed exceptionally well in his North West and North East strongholds. He has also performed very well in North Central and South West. His Achilles heel will most probably be the South South and South East states.
General Buhari will most likely win outright in about 18 states. These are: Katsina, Kano, Kaduna, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Jigawa, Borno, Yobe, Gombe, Adamawa, Bauchi, Kwara, Niger, Lagos, Oyo, Ogun, and Osun. The APC will also get 25 percent in about ten other states.
Both of the two major gladiators in this contest would most probably meet the constitutional threshold but the candidate with the majority vote between the two would end up being duly elected President.
————————–
– Abdulmumin Ajia and Ola Adeola wrote in from [email protected] and [email protected] respectively
Op-ed pieces and contributions are the opinions of the writers only and do not represent the opinions of Y!/YNaija
Leave a reply