Final Florida polls show Mitt Romney likely to win



Photo credit: CNN


Summary of the News from the Huffington Post


 The final two polls on the Florida presidential primary are in, and they show little or no change over the last two or three days of the campaign. Former Massachusetts Governor, Mitt Romney appears headed for victory in the Sunshine State, with polls differing only on the size of his margin.


The final poll from the American Research Group (ARG), conducted by live interviewers from Jan. 29 to 30, shows Romney leading former House Speaker Newt Gingrich by 12 points (43 to 31 percent), with Rick Santorum (13 percent) and Ron Paul (9 percent) running a distant third and fourth.


And the final Florida update from the Democratic Party-affiliated firm Public Policy Polling (PPP), based on automated, recorded-voice interviewing conducted from Jan. 28 to 30, gives Romney an eight point lead over Gingrich (39 to 31 percent), followed by Santorum (15 percent) and Paul (11 percent).


Both firms report what PPP described as a “lack of movement in the final 72 hours of the campaign” that is a “far cry from the dramatic shifts Florida Republicans made in their preferences over the last four months.” During the three days of tracking, PPP reports, the results for Romney, Gingrich, Santorum and Paul on any given day never varied by more than a percentage point or two from the poll’s final result.


Similarly, the 43 percent support that ARG found for Romney is unchanged from a survey the firm conducted two days earlier, and Gingrich’s support has decreased by just a single percentage point (from 32 percent).


The automated, recorded-voice polls conducted by PPP have shown a slightly closer margin between Romney and Gingrich than most of the other polls conducted over the last four days. Seven surveys conducted since Saturday show Romney leading by margins ranging from 10 to 20 percentage points.


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